AND NOW, the results of The PoliticsOnline.com Presidential Election Predictor Competition! Each member of the Online100 panel, the daily tracker of the US blogosphere consisting of the “100 leading online voices in the United States” was asked to predict the outcome in all twenty potential battleground states. The envelope, por favor!
LIKE OUR NEW PRESIDENT SAID OF HIMSELF, your host’s greatest attribute is also “humility,” and so it is with that same asset that I now remind you of my inclusion in the Online100 Panel, which was billed as such:
“The first-ever survey of the top 100 online voices and bloggers tracking trends and attitudes heading toward the 2008 Election Day.”
I first received the invite from Andrew Rawnsley, Editor-in-Chief of PoliticsHome.com. Mr. Rawnsley is better known, I’d guess, as the Chief Political Commentator of The Observer in the UK.
The full introductory page lists all our names, and the general billing mentions that other members include Mike Allen, Jerome Armstrong, Mark Blumenthal, Sid Blumenthal, Jay Carney, John Fund, Jonah Goldberg, Mark Halperin, Jane Hamsher, Arianna Huffington, Charles Johnson, Ken Layne, Dana Milbank, Karl Rove, Roy Sekoff, Ken Silverstein, Jake Tapper, Michael Tomasky, Joe Trippi and Danny Wattenberg.
That being said, here is today’s summation and announcement from PoliticsHome.com, which before the election, asked us all to predict the outcome in various ways.
PoliticsHome can now announce the results of its Presidential Election Predictor Competition. Each member of the Online100 panel, consisting of online voices from across the nation, was asked to predict the outcome in all twenty potential battleground states. No panellist got all 20 right. The winners, each on 19 out of 20, were all from the national and statewide blogger parts of the sample. Congratulations to:
The leading mainstream media panellists were:
As part of its comprehensive coverage of election night, PoliticsHome took note of which network called each state first, and the time it did so. The results are as follows:
Network Results Calling League Table
Number of States called
FOX
16
ABC
14
NBC
14
CBS
3
CNN
2
AP
1
PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION RESULTS
LIVE AS THEY HAPPEN
Alabama
9
REP
38.7
60.5
ABC
8:30
REP
Alaska
3
REP
36.2
61.6
ABC
1:00
REP
Arizona
10
REP
45.1
53.7
NBC
11:30
REP
Arkansas
6
REP
38.8
58.8
FOX
8:30
REP
California
55
DEM
61.3
36.9
NBC
11:00
DEM
Colorado
9
REP
52.6
45.8
NBC
11:14
DEM
Connecticut
7
DEM
60.3
38.6
FOX
8:00
DEM
Delaware
3
DEM
61.3
37.6
FOX
8:00
DEM
DC
3
DEM
92.9
6.5
ABC
8:00
DEM
Florida
27
REP
50.9
48.4
NBC
11:16
DEM
Georgia
15
REP
46.4
52.9
NBC
8:39
REP
Hawaii
4
DEM
71.8
26.6
NBC
11:00
DEM
Idaho
4
REP
36.0
61.6
NBC
11:00
REP
Illinois
21
DEM
61.0
37.7
FOX
8:00
DEM
Indiana
11
REP
49.9
49.0
CBS
3:00
DEM
Iowa
7
REP
54.0
44.7
CNN
10:00
DEM
Kansas
6
REP
41.5
56.8
ABC
9:00
REP
Kentucky
8
REP
41.1
57.5
FOX
7:00
REP
Louisiana
9
REP
39.9
58.6
CBS
9:30
REP
Maine
4
DEM
58.2
39.9
FOX
8:00
DEM
Maryland
10
DEM
60.7
38.0
FOX
8:00
DEM
Massachusetts
12
DEM
62.0
36.3
FOX
8:00
DEM
Michigan
17
DEM
57.4
41.0
NBC
9:00
DEM
Minnesota
10
DEM
54.2
44.0
ABC
9:00
DEM
Mississippi
6
REP
42.7
56.5
ABC
9:52
REP
Missouri
11
REP
49.3
49.5
NBC
10:00
REP
Montana
3
REP
46.5
50.3
ABC
5:00
REP
Nebraska
5
REP
41.2
57.3
ABC
10:22
REP
Nevada
5
REP
55.1
42.7
NBC
11:31
DEM
N Hampshire
4
DEM
54.8
44.3
ABC
8:00
DEM
New Jersey
15
DEM
56.7
42.2
FOX
8:00
DEM
New Mexico
5
REP
56.8
41.9
FOX
9:03
DEM
New York
31
DEM
62.1
36.7
ABC
9:00
DEM
North Carolina
15
REP
49.8
49.6
AP
12:16
DEM
North Dakota
3
REP
44.7
53.3
NBC
9:00
REP
Ohio
20
REP
51.2
47.2
FOX
9:18
DEM
Oklahoma
7
REP
34.4
65.6
FOX
8:00
REP
Oregon
7
DEM
55.4
42.6
NBC
11:00
DEM
Pennsylvania
21
DEM
54.6
44.3
NBC
8:00
DEM
Rhode Island
4
DEM
63.3
35.0
ABC
9:00
DEM
S Carolina
8
REP
44.7
54.1
NBC
7:46
REP
South Dakota
3
REP
44.7
53.2
FOX
10:39
REP
Tennessee
11
REP
41.6
57.2
ABC
8:00
REP
Texas
34
REP
43.8
55.5
CBS
9:20
REP
Utah
5
REP
34.2
62.9
CNN
10:00
REP
Vermont
3
DEM
67.0
31.3
FOX
7:00
DEM
Virginia
13
REP
51.8
47.3
FOX
10:41
DEM
Washington
11
DEM
57.5
40.8
NBC
11:00
DEM
West Virginia
5
REP
42.5
55.8
FOX
7:30
REP
Wisconsin
10
DEM
55.8
42.9
ABC
8:00
DEM
Wyoming
3
REP
32.7
65.2
ABC
9:00
REP
TOTAL %
52
46
E COLLEGE
538
364
174
I need say no more!
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no sir…you need say no more, but i’m glad to know you will. i come to this site of yours because you call em as you see em and obviously with clarity…congratulations on what i already know to be your success and vision.
thank you!
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